2005 - Year of the Smart Phone

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Thread Title:
2005: The Year Of The Mobile
Thread Description:

Russell Beattie of Yahoo Mobile is back from his blogging hiatus with what he admits is an easy prediction: 2005 will be the Smart Phone's year.

He starts out by pointing at a couple of "ideas that need to die":

There's a few ideas out there that still have to die. First is that WiFi is somehow going to be a competitor to mobile networks. It's not. As more and more people have access to higher speed cellular network technologies such as EV-DO or WCDMA, they're going to realize that for most people, these speeds will be more than reasonable to check email, browse the web and stream media from wherever they are on the planet.

The second idea that needs to die is that mobility involves any other device other than the mobile phone. I constantly hear about "multiple devices" as if you're going to be doing much browsing or email on your TV or iPod. You're not. The future market of data services revolves completely around the the mobile phone. The latest predictions are for there to be 2 billion mobile phone subscribers by 2006, and the percentages of those subscribers with access to IP data is growing on a hockey stick curve.

and goes on to talk about how the term "smart phone" is going to be slapped on everything this year as marketers pounce on the boom in mobile.

The BBC also have a story about mobile out today, it's a worthwhile read also:

Moves to unite mobile and fixed phones look set to get more emphasis in 2005 too.

Old-fashioned rotary phone, Eyewire
The net is putting fixed line phones under pressure
For a start, BT looks set to roll out its Bluephone project during the next 12 months.

The service revolves around a hybrid device that uses the mobile networks when you are out and about but switches back to the fixed line when you are at home.

Fixed line phones will also start to get much more serious competition from a technology that has the formidable name of Voice over IP (Voip).

Time to start thinking about what we can build for the mobile market...



Is it just me, or does it seem like nearly 50% of webmasters have Treos, and the other half have some other smart device?

If IDC's prediction is correct, these next two years will have rapid growth:

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